省道329薛館線孟疃至萊蕪段改建項目國民經(jīng)濟評價研究.pdf

1、中國海洋大學碩士學位論文省道329薛館線孟疃至萊蕪段改建項目國民經(jīng)濟評價研究姓名：亓春紅申請學位級別：碩士專業(yè)：項目管理指導教師：蔡禮彬；牟向峰2010-11-28IIProvincial highway 329 xue hall Tuan to laiwu section line meng redevelopment project assessment of national economy research Abstract A

2、s the highway project is the basis of public facilities, it plays an important strategic position in the national economy. The country is the largest investor of country highway, so it is necessary that the country giv

3、e the demonstration for the highway investment projects in a wide range of regional economic and social environment. We should determine the project economical expenses and the benefits on a regional economic point of

4、 view. The national economic evaluation of the project can not only make investment decisions more scientific and rational, but also promote the industrial structure, scale structure more reasonable, and achieve human,

5、 financial, material and other resources optimization from the social level. This paper studied deeply some important issues of the national economic evaluation of highway construction project, mainly including : the

6、introduction of the research history and the present situation of the domestic and international economic evaluation of highway construction projects; analysis of the basic theory and method of the national economic eva

7、luation; Finally, the empirical analysis of the national economic evaluation of reconstruction project of provincial road 329 Xueguan line from Mengtuan to Laiwu section. The empirical analysis focused on the following w

8、ork: using the investigation methodology and the fixed quantity standard to estimate the related investment and the cost survey; using the combination of qualitative and quantitative methods to complete the project traff

9、ic demand analysis; using shadow prices, shadow wage methodology to adjust the project's national economic costs; using the combination of static and dynamic methods to analyze the project's national economy ben

10、efits; carrying on the national economy overall appraisal with the help of major economic indicators of static and dynamic sensitivity and through the sensitive analysis to the project, and eventually coming to a feasib

11、le conclusion in the national economy aspect. Based on the validation of reliability and practicability of related theories and methods, the paper completed the national economic feasibility analysis and appraisal of t

12、he renovation project. The main innovations are: using a linear model to calculate the road traffic benefits and costs; using three exponential smoothing methods and the elastic coefficient method to forecast the traffi