基于內(nèi)生增長(zhǎng)理論的內(nèi)蒙古經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)動(dòng)力機(jī)制研究.pdf

1、 （ 類 別 : 全 日 制 碩 士 研 究 生 全 日 制 碩 士 研 究 生 題 目 ：基 于 內(nèi) 生 增 長(zhǎng) 理 論 的 內(nèi) 蒙 古 經(jīng) 濟(jì) 增 長(zhǎng) 動(dòng)力 機(jī) 制 研 究目 ：基 于 內(nèi) 生 增 長(zhǎng) 理 論 的 內(nèi) 蒙 古 經(jīng) 濟(jì) 增 長(zhǎng) 動(dòng)力 機(jī) 制 研 究 英 文 題 目 ： 英 文 題 目 ： Research on Dynamic Mechanism of Economic Growth in Inner

2、 Mongolia Based on Endogenous Economic Growth 研 究 生 ： 李 存 剛 研 究 生 ： 李 存 剛 學(xué) 科 名 稱 ： 金 融 學(xué) 學(xué) 科 名 稱 ： 金 融 學(xué) 指 導(dǎo) 教 師 ： 李 長(zhǎng) 青 指 導(dǎo) 教 師 ： 李 長(zhǎng) 青 二 ○ ○ 九 年 五 月 二 ○ ○ 九 年 五 月 碩 士 學(xué) 位 論 文 碩 士 學(xué) 位 論 文 分類號(hào):學(xué)校代碼: 10128 分類號(hào):學(xué)校

3、代碼: 10128 U D C :學(xué) 號(hào): 學(xué) 號(hào): Abstract In recent years, in Inner Mongolia region economic development is showing high-growth situation. Therefore, the study core of this paper is dynamic force of high-growth in Inne

4、r Mongolia region. A endogenous growth model which includes equipment and building capital is established. According to this model, the marginal returns of equipment capital is estimated, and endogenous technological pro

5、gress is calculated through the marginal returns of equipment capital. This paper brings forward three propositions about measuring endogenous technological progress of capital: relative technological progress of equipm

6、ent investment is equal to price rate of change of building investment or output relative to building investment; Marginal returns of equipment capital is directly proportional to technological progress of equipment inve

7、stment; The gap between marginal returns of equipment and building capital is inversely proportional to relative price of equipment investment. On this basis, the article give a empirical analysis of technological advanc

8、e in capital accumulation of the Inner Mongolia in 1986-2007. Trough comparing price index of equipment investment with price index of building investment and GDP deflator, endogenous technological progress of the equipm

9、ent capital is analyzed. Then a endogenous growth model which includes equipment and building capital is established, and it is estimated by the state-space model. We obtain the dynamic value of equipment and building ca

10、pital contribution to economic growth, and then obtain marginal benefit of equipment capital since 1986. The potential economic growth rate is estimated in Inner Mongolia through HP filtering. Finally, policy proposals o

11、f economic growth in Inner Mongolia are issued. The conclusions of our research are: First, trough comparing price index of equipment investment with price index of building investment and GDP deflator, we know in 1990-

12、2007 average technological progress level of equipment investment in Inner Mongolia is at least 2.5%—3.5% Second, marginal returns of equipment capital has a downward trend, that is, endogenous technological progress lev

13、el of equipment capital has fallen. But, in recent years, marginal returns of equipment capital still remains above 1.32, higher than the world average of 5 percent. Therefore, equipment capital is in the past few years