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1、本科本科畢業(yè)論畢業(yè)論文外文翻文外文翻譯外文外文題目：目：Exptledgrowthhypothesis:evidencefromPapuaNewGuineaFiji出處：JournalofEconomicStudiesVol34Num4Year2007作者：者：PareshKumarNarayanSeemaNarayanBimanChPrasadArtiPrasad原文：文：Exptledgrowthhypothesis:evidenc

2、efromPapuaNewGuineaFijiTheAuthsPareshKumarNarayanSchoolofAccountingEconomicsFinanceDeakinUniversityMelbourneAustraliaSeemaNarayanCentrefPolicyStudiesMonashUniversityMelbourneAustraliaBimanChPrasadSchoolofEconomicsTheUniv

3、ersityoftheSouthPacificSuvaFijiArtiPrasadSchoolofEconomicsTheUniversityoftheSouthPacificSuvaFijiAcknowledgementsHelpfulcommentsonearlierversionsofthispaperfromananonymousrefereeofthisJournaltheeditProfessMohsenBahmaniOsk

4、ooeearegratefullyacknowledged.Anyerrsomissionsarehoweverourowndoing.Abstractperiod)of0.6percentperannumisevenmealarming(NarayanNarayan20042005abNarayanPrasad2006ab).LikePNGFijisrealGDPgrowthratehasbeenmediocreovertheperi

5、od19802002.WhileFijiseconomyperfmedexceptionallyin1989inachievingagrowthrateof13.5percentitsgrowthperfmancehasbeendismalsincewithnegativegrowthratesrecdedin1991(?0.3percent)1997(?1.8percent)1998(?1.3percent)2000(?8percen

6、t)[1].Thegrowthratein2004was3.8percentcomparedtoonly3.0percentin2003(NarayanNarayan2004).Thisgrowthwasgenerallyledbyrecoveryintheagriculturefestryfisheriessects(AsianDevelopmentBank2005).Mealarminglythegrowthratef2005has

7、beenreviseddownwardsto1.3percentfromaninitialfecastof1.5percentf20062007thepredictedgrowthrateis0.7percent1percentrespectively.Thispogrowthperfmanceisduetothreemainfacts.FirstitisduetothedeclineingarmentproductionasFijil

8、ossespreferentialUSAustralianmarkets.Seconditisduetodecliningsugarproduction.ThesugarindustryinFijihasbeenoneofthelargestemployersthelossofEuropeanUnionpreferentialsugarpricesislikelytohaveadevastatingimpactonproduction.

9、Thirdtheperfmanceofprivateinvestmenthasalsobeenpo:valuedat15percentofrealGDPin1980ithasfailedtoreachdoubledigitsoverthelastdecadedespitegovernmentsaimof25percentofrealGDP(Narayan2004NarayanNarayan2006).Fijispoperfmanceis

10、mainlyduetotwofacts:politicalinstabilitytheexpiryofagriculturallleases.Politicalinstabilityhasrestrictedattemptstocreateanenvironmentconducivefinvestmentwhileexpiringagriculturallleaseshavenotcreatedthesecurityneededtoat

11、tractmeaningfulinvestment(NarayanSmyth2005ab2006).GiventhepoeconomicperfmancebothFijiPNGhavepursuedexptledgrowthstrategiesinthelastcoupleofdecades.Inthispaperweexaminewhetherexptsleadtoeconomicgrowthinthesetwoisleconomie

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