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1、本科畢業(yè)論文(設(shè)計)外文翻譯原文:原文:DisclosureQualityCashFlowWestudyarelativelyrecentchangeinvoluntarydisclosurepracticesbymanagementnamelytheissuanceofmanagementcashflowfecasts.Whilewefindsomemanagementcashflowfecastsintheearly1980sthe
2、incidenceofsuchdisclosuresislowuntilrecentyears.Howeversince2000therehasbeenadramaticincreaseintheissuanceofmanagementcashflowfecaststhenumberofsuchfecastshasmethantripledfrompre2000levels.Onepotentialexplanationfthistre
3、ndisRegulationFDwhichwentintoeffectin2000.FexampleifmanagersweredisclosingcashflowfecastsprivatelytoanalystspritoRegulationFDtheywouldhavetopubliclydisclosesuchfecaststoallpartiesafterRegulationFDcurtailtheirmanagementca
4、shflowfecastscompletely.RegulationFDpotentiallyincreasescompanydisclosureofawidearrayoffinancialinfmationincludingcashflowinfmation.Consistentwiththiswealsodocumentanincreasingfrequencyofmanagementearningsfecastsinrecent
5、years.Anotherpotentialexplanationftherecenttrendofmemanagementcashflowfecastsisinvestsanalystspayingmeattentiontocashflowinfmationthanbefe.RecentcpatescalsinvolvingEnronWldComothershaveheightenedinvestconcernoverpotentia
6、laccountingearningsmanipulations.SuchconcernswererecentlynotedinaBusinessWeekarticleentitled“FuzzyNumbers”.Consistentwithanincreaseinthedemfcashflowinfmationbyinvestswealsofindanalystfecastsofcashflowduringthe20002003per
7、iodmethandoubledfrompre2000levels.Westudyvoluntarymanagementcashflowfecaststesthypothesesonreleasesthatearningswillbeeitherbelowaboveexpectationswhenfirmisyoung.Inadditionwefindthatthelikelihoodofmanagementcashflowfecast
8、sdecreasesinperiodswithextremepositivediscretionaryaccruals.Wedocumentthatfirmsissuingmanagementcashflowfecaststendtohavebettercashflowinfmationthanthosewithoutafecastthatmanagementcashflowfecaststendtobeatexistingexpect
9、ations.Thisappliestosituationswherethereisverybadverygoodnewsinearningswhenthefirmisyoungsuggestingthatmanagementusescashflowfecaststomitigatethenegativeimpactofbadnewsinearningstolendcredibilitytogoodnewsinearningstosig
10、naleconomicviabilityinyoungfirms.Weprovideevidenceonhowmanagementreptsactualcashflowinfmationin(subsequent)pressreleases.Wedocumentthatmanagersusediscretioninreptingrealizedcashflowsinearningsannouncementrelatedpressrele
11、asesadoptalternativedefinitionsofcashflows(visvisGAAPdefinitionsofcashflowperthestatementofcashflows).SpecificallymanagementannouncedactualcashflowstendtoexceedactualGAAPcashflows.Asaresultmanagementannouncedactualcashfl
12、owsmeetbeatmanagementcashflowprojectionsmeoftenthanactualGAAPcashflowsmeetbeatmanagementprojectionsgeneratingsignificantlypositivecashflowfecasterrs.Thisfindingsuggeststhatasimilarpracticetomanagement’sannouncementofprof
13、maearningsalsoexistsfmanagementannouncementofcashflows.Sloan(1996)providesevidencethatinvestsoverestimatethepersistenceofaccrualsunderestimatethepersistenceofcashflow.Thisresultsinmispricing–labeledtheaccrualanomaly–wher
14、eatradingstrategydesignedtoexploitinvests’misunderstingofthepersistenceofearningscomponentsearnssignificantabnmalreturns.LiteratureextendingSloan(1996)primarilyfocusesonaccrualovervaluation(e.g.Xie[2001]ThomasCollinsGong
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