電力市場(chǎng)下水電廠短期優(yōu)化運(yùn)行研究.pdf

1、華中科技大學(xué)碩士學(xué)位論文電力市場(chǎng)下水電廠短期優(yōu)化運(yùn)行研究姓名：馬建軍申請(qǐng)學(xué)位級(jí)別：碩士專業(yè)：水利水電工程指導(dǎo)教師：伍永剛20060512IVAbstractThecurrentmatureelectricitymarketsoverseasgenerallyincludelongtermcontractmarketshttermmarketwhichcomposingmultistagemarkets.Theshttermmarketi

2、softencomposedofenergymarketancillaryservicemarketsoon.Theoptimizationdispatchproblemfhyowerplantsturnsintothecodinativedispatchprobleminthemultimarketsintheelectricitymarket.TheAGCmarketisthemostimptantpartoftheancillar

3、yservicemarket.BecauseofexcellentperfmanceatstartstopaswellasadjustmentfhydrounititisextremelysuitablefparticipatesintheAGCadjustment.Thispaperstudiesthecombinationoptimizationdispatchproblemfhyowerplantsinthedayaheadene

4、rgymarketAGCmarketobtainssomevaluableresearchresults.Thispaperfirstintroducesthecurrentwldwideelectricitymarketspointingoutthemarketenvironmentfhyowerplants.Thenthemarketriskfacedbyhyowerplantsthemethodsofriskassessmentw

5、hicharewidelyusedincurrentfinancialdomainhavebeenanalyzed.Thesearethefoundationsofmakingcodinativescheduleinthefollowingpartsofthispaper.Solvingthecodinatedispatchproblemisthemostimptantpartofthispaper.Asthedoubtofusingv

6、ariancefriskassessmentittakesthevalueatrisk(VaR)astheriskmeasurementindex.TheVaRexpectedrevenueconstitutedifferentutilityfunctionstodescribemarketbehaviofdifferentpowerproducer.AmodelfshttermcodinativedispatchinenergyAGC

7、marketsisestablishedfhyowerplantswhichisbasedonthefecastedMCPsfenergymarketAGCmarket.Inthemodeltheconstrainofwaterusingwhichisobtainedbythemediumlongtermdispatchplanisconsideredasaweakconstrainwhichisproventobeeffectivet

8、orevisethelongerplan.InconsiderationofthedifficultyofchoosingappropriateriskfactinutilityfunctionfdifferentpowerproducerMonteCarloMethodisusedfcombinedriskassessmentofpowerpriceinflow.Theresultcanhelppowerproducerchoosem