電網(wǎng)項(xiàng)目融資租賃經(jīng)營(yíng)期風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理研究.pdf

1、華北電力大學(xué)碩士學(xué)位論文摘要本文站在出租人的角度，對(duì)電網(wǎng)項(xiàng)目融資租賃經(jīng)營(yíng)期的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)進(jìn)行分析，識(shí)別出其中主要的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)因素。建立了風(fēng)險(xiǎn)評(píng)價(jià)的指標(biāo)體系，并針對(duì)電網(wǎng)項(xiàng)目融資租賃的特點(diǎn)，通過(guò)分析電網(wǎng)項(xiàng)目融資租賃經(jīng)營(yíng)期的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)因素，分別建立了基于層次分析法和網(wǎng)絡(luò)分析法的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)模糊綜合評(píng)價(jià)模型，并對(duì)兩種模型進(jìn)行了比較。隨后在假設(shè)電網(wǎng)項(xiàng)目融資租賃的廣泛開(kāi)展的基礎(chǔ)上，建立了基于粗糙集和灰色關(guān)聯(lián)分析的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)評(píng)估模型。最后本文根據(jù)各種風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的特征，提出了應(yīng)對(duì)各種風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的對(duì)

2、策。本論文的研究方法可供出租人在電網(wǎng)項(xiàng)目融資租賃進(jìn)行風(fēng)險(xiǎn)評(píng)估及控制時(shí)參考，對(duì)在租賃公司也有一定的參考價(jià)值。關(guān)鍵詞:融資租賃，風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理，電網(wǎng)項(xiàng)目，網(wǎng)絡(luò)分析法ABSTRACTThisPaperfirstlyanalysestheriskofgridProjeetfinaneialleasinginoPerationPeriodfromthePersPeetiveofthelessorandidentifiedthemainriskfaeto

3、rsinthatPeriod.Ariskevaluationindexsystemwasestablished，thentheauthorresPeetivelyevaluatestheriskofgridProjeetfinaneialleasinginoPerationPeriodusingfuzzyeomPrehensiveevaluationmodelbasedonAHPandANPmethodandeomParestheres

4、ults.ThenassumingthegridProjeetfinaneeleasingwaswidelyeondueted，riskeomPrehensiveevaluationmodelwasestablishedbasedonroughsetandgreyrelevanee.Finally，theauthorPutsfo附ardmeasurestodealwithvariousrisksinaeeordaneewiththeeh

5、araeteristiesofvariousrisks.TheresearehmethodofthisPaPereanProviderefereneeflessofgridProjeetfinaneingleaseinriskassessmentandeontrol，ithassomerefereneevalueftheleasingcomPany.YangWanqiang(managementseieneeandengineering

6、)DireetedbyProf.HuangWenjieKeywds:finaneialleasing，riskmanagement，gridProjeet，ANPmethod華北電力大學(xué)碩士學(xué)位論文4.2電網(wǎng)項(xiàng)目融資租賃經(jīng)營(yíng)期風(fēng)險(xiǎn)綜合評(píng)價(jià)模型.............……，............……184.2.1基于層次分析法的模糊綜合評(píng)價(jià)..........................................……194.

7、2.2應(yīng)用實(shí)例...........................................................................……，.214.2.3基于ANP的模糊綜合評(píng)價(jià)方法..............................................……244.2.4結(jié)果比較..............................……，.....................

8、...................……364.2.5模糊評(píng)價(jià).............................................................................……384.2.6基于粗糙集和灰色系統(tǒng)電網(wǎng)項(xiàng)目融資租賃經(jīng)營(yíng)期風(fēng)險(xiǎn)評(píng)價(jià)....……394.2.7評(píng)價(jià)方法比較..........................................................

9、............……50第五章風(fēng)險(xiǎn)控制.......................................................................................……515.1信用風(fēng)險(xiǎn).....................................................................................……515.1.1承租人拖欠

10、或拒付租金風(fēng)險(xiǎn).................................................……515.1.2承租人虛報(bào)信息風(fēng)險(xiǎn)............................................................……515.1.3承租人不按規(guī)定對(duì)設(shè)備維護(hù)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)..........................................……525.2環(huán)境風(fēng)險(xiǎn)..........

11、..................................................……，..................……525.2.1金融風(fēng)險(xiǎn).............................................................................……525.2.2法律法規(guī)和稅率調(diào)整風(fēng)險(xiǎn).......................................

12、..............……535.2.3電價(jià)調(diào)整風(fēng)險(xiǎn)......................................................................……535.2.4電力需求減小風(fēng)險(xiǎn)...............................................................……535.2.5不可抗力風(fēng)險(xiǎn)…，........................

13、..........................................……535.3技術(shù)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)...............................................................................……，..…54第六章結(jié)束語(yǔ)..........................................................................

14、..................……55參考文獻(xiàn)............……，...........................................……，................................……56致謝...............................................................................................