電力市場環(huán)境下電力產(chǎn)業(yè)價格鏈優(yōu)化模型及方法研究.pdf

1、華北電力大學(xué)（北京）博士學(xué)位論文電力市場環(huán)境下電力產(chǎn)業(yè)價格鏈優(yōu)化模型及方法研究姓名：劉嚴(yán)申請學(xué)位級別：博士專業(yè)：技術(shù)經(jīng)濟(jì)及管理指導(dǎo)教師：乞建勛譚忠富20060601華北電力人學(xué)博學(xué)位論文摘要(英文)AbstractThedevelopmentoftheoryandpracticeofelectricpowermarkethasstartedjustnowinChinaandrequirealotofWOrktodoThereforlTl

2、ofelectricpowermarketaimstoimprovetheproductioneffnciencyofelectricpowerindustry，reducetheelectricityexpensesofconsumers，andguaranteeinvestors’reasonablerevenue，inordertomaximizethesocialbenefitsofelectricpowerproduction

3、andhelpthecontinuousandsteadydevelopmentofelectricpowerindustryAsamainbodyrunningindependentlyinelectricpowermarket，ittakesvariousactionsindifferentconditionstomakeasmuchprofitaspossibleTherefore，theoptimizationmodelsand

4、methodsofelectricpowerindustryvaluechainarcofimportanceanddifficultythemainresearchandinnovationtotheproblemsinthisthesisareasbelow：Thefirst，combinedwiththereformoutcomeofothercountries，thisthesiBanalyzesthecurrentelectr

5、icpowerindustryvaluechaininChinaandpointsoutalotofproblems；studiestheelectricpowerindustryvaluechainoptimizationinChinabyresearchontheeconomicleadingofterminalratetotheconsumers’response；italsoresearchesthecontents、empha

6、ses、projectsbasedontheelectricpowerindustryvaluechainofgenerating、transmitting、distributingandusinginordertoproposesomerelevantmeasuresforpromotingtheelectricpowerindustryvaluechainoptimizationThesecond，intheproblemofbid

7、dingstrategiesforthegenerationenterprises，theprocessofchoosingbiddingstrategiesisformulatedasaMarkovDecisionProcessadiscretestochasticoptimizationmethodbasedontheresearchofpartortotalgamemodelsamongpowersuppliersThisthes

8、issimplifyeveryperiod’sbiddingtoaformofselectingbiddingparameters，andutilizetheMarkovtheorytoestimatetheprobabilitiesthatuncertaintiesfactorhowever，thepowerprovider’Sbiddingstrategieschoosingcanbedescribedasdiscretestoch

9、asticoptimizationprocessMarkovdecisionprocessTheoptimalselectionofpowerprovider’Sbiddingparameterscanbedeterminedateveryperiodbasedontheoptimalstrategythatmaximizestheexpectedprofit，andtheseparametersareconvertedtothebid

10、dingresultsThethird，regardingtheriskofbiddingstrategyforthegenerationenterprises，thisthesiscomparesitsdecisionfeaturewithriskdecisioncharacteristic；ariskdecisionmethodisusedtosolvethechoosingofbiddingstrategyofpowersuppl